NBA betting strategies revealed

The good thing about sports is that everyone has an opinion and everyone’s opinion is correct. Every time.

There are exceptions. Once a team has won or lost, the domain of opinion cannot change the outcome, all that opinion can do is focus on the reasons for winning and losing.

When I place a bet on an NBA team, I win most of the time. I’m a genius? No. My friends think I am, so they don’t argue much with my opinion. When I started looking for a betting strategy, I came across all kinds of terms and strategies.

Most betting strategies are based on historical events. This is normal. We try to control the future by looking at the past. From 1987 to 2006, more than 22,000 NBA games were played.

By themselves they mean nothing, but collectively they are a gold mine of information. Studies showed that the best strategy during this period, when gambling blindly, was to bet on visiting the underdog.

Statistics show how certain bets (spread bets, money line bets, plus and minus, NBA teasers) would have performed against the house. The advice seems to be to never cross or touch a tie and only disturb the homeless. These bets are generally not profitable.

My foray into NBA betting strategies revealed that most teams win games by 2-9 points. That said, of the eight games played on March 3, 2009, six teams were victorious by more than 10 points, two of which were visiting teams.

However, I don’t use any of these stats, I get my picks and I bet. How many of you have time to study graphs and statistics? If you’ve raised your hand, you’re probably a bookie or statistician.